Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.289822 18.485220 20.957541 23.965851 27.551510 31.718648 36.972226
2025-08-31 13.046064 15.734093 19.013442 23.367952 29.089489 36.483220 46.985305
2025-09-07 11.289744 14.172957 17.883863 23.117868 30.491404 40.801860 56.870930
2025-09-14 9.759567 12.610894 16.426648 22.055955 30.420125 42.864327 63.783341
2025-09-21 8.556728 11.311160 15.113290 20.930260 29.961616 44.121613 69.545931
2025-09-28 7.740813 10.443687 14.280657 20.350109 30.168122 46.350165 77.342160
2025-10-05 7.884577 10.940964 15.451910 22.931883 35.768809 58.548568 106.703327
2025-10-12 7.583021 10.741610 15.539454 23.782412 38.586677 66.434930 130.264598
2025-10-19 6.988922 10.040344 14.767945 23.093229 38.533674 68.826438 142.559310
2025-10-26 6.758280 9.880116 14.837701 23.844614 41.252064 77.335029 172.561543
2025-11-02 6.351588 9.404889 14.342429 23.523411 41.827603 81.409227 192.786192
2025-11-09 5.962050 8.927589 13.800556 23.050417 42.015512 84.645552 212.043172
2025-11-16 5.632115 8.539879 13.404544 22.857219 42.870734 89.936431 241.114640
2025-11-23 5.270217 8.074589 12.837023 22.274783 42.810026 93.026902 265.017508
2025-11-30 4.996375 7.738555 12.469054 22.040533 43.484307 98.198926 299.533326
2025-12-07 4.638905 7.235418 11.760426 21.041252 42.238178 97.880969 312.946740
2025-12-14 4.303396 6.751516 11.054415 19.981109 40.704822 96.445236 321.333851
2025-12-21 4.063698 6.422563 10.613363 19.434369 40.344286 98.380989 346.157570
2025-12-28 4.215718 6.797188 11.519828 21.865539 47.865644 126.843347 526.483868
2026-01-04 4.155223 6.782045 11.675206 22.665405 51.332229 143.718191 669.844646
2026-01-11 3.939164 6.467246 11.217638 22.017313 50.706652 145.940516 722.539133
2026-01-18 3.880485 6.442206 11.336183 22.723882 54.065493 164.350264 921.246293
2026-01-25 3.723579 6.222710 11.044478 22.421885 54.416016 171.134971 1039.669610